ABSTRACT

Computational social scientists who support culturally aware decision making have investigated how scientifically based human, social, culture behavioral (HSCB) knowledge can explain human-driven events. In today's state of the art, most approaches have proven difficult to translate to operational, decision-making processes. In this paper, we extend the existing state of HSCB modeling and analysis to enable an understanding of the evidence underlying the HSCB model and the analysis output. The authors recognize that "understanding" extends to the "visualization" of findings of HSCB modeling. To address this, the authors' approach toward such HSCB forecasts, especially the uncertainty of these estimates, is naturally presented as contours on an interactive geospatial map.