ABSTRACT

The investigations were split into consecutive working phases. By analysing the composition of the

1 INTRODUCTION

There is little doubt that many of the extreme weather events we are witnessing lately are a consequence of increasing global temperatures. It is reasonably to assume that due to warming not only coastal areas will be increasingly endangered by the rising sea-level, but inundations and flash-floods along rivers will also increase in both frequency and intensity in the future. But in forecasting future trends, in addition to climate-related mechanisms, the impact of river regulation and other human interventions have to be also considered. The knowledge of the recurrence interval of extreme flood events over time intervals which go far beyond historical records, would be of great value in an objective assessment of the relative importance of anthropogenic factors versus climatic forcing in the occurrence of such events.