ABSTRACT

This requires consideration of the effects of local topography and bathymetry, on which storm surge at any specific location is highly dependent.

This paper describes a methodology for estimating risk due to combined effects of hurricane wind speed and storm surge. The proposed methodology is applied to the Tampa Bay, Florida region and entails the following three steps:

1. Simulation and selection of hurricane storm tracks and characteristics: A stochastic set of hurricane storm tracks is generated, each hurricane being characterized by a set of climatological parameters, including pressure defect, radius of maximum wind speeds, and its track.