ABSTRACT

Managing risk and the notion of preparedness has been part of the human condition for many centuries. Preparedness for war, natural disasters, and today terrorism, has evolved with the threats (both perceived and real) that mankind faces. The current state of preparedness in the United States is shaped by threats once readied for in the past and those threats that should be readied for in the future. Two drivers in the practice of emergency management and preparedness today constitute our view of the future and the new face of risk:

• The Disaster Halo Effect, the recognition that modern threats exhibit more than one “event” and multiple outcomes that can be viewed as being emergent (or evolving) and,

• The worldview of the nation as a Market State in which nationalism is replaced with a globalized approach focused on the trading of goods, services, and ideas among nation-states.