ABSTRACT

Earthquake prediction is never going to be a “solved problem.” We will never be able to state with 100% assurance when an earthquake will occur, where it will occur and how strong it will be. However, scienti„c computing and increased leverage of grid technologies are increasing the reliability of what can be predicted: how an earthquake will behave in a certain geographic area, when aftershocks are likely to occur, and where the chances of an earthquake along a given fault are higher. This information is critical for preparing populations around the world: from heavily populated areas such as Southern California and into rural areas such as Indonesia.