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      Chapter

      Models for robust inference
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      Chapter

      Models for robust inference

      DOI link for Models for robust inference

      Models for robust inference book

      Models for robust inference

      DOI link for Models for robust inference

      Models for robust inference book

      ByAndrew Gelman, John B. Carlin, Hal S. Stern, David B. Dunson, Aki Vehtari, Donald B. Rubin
      BookBayesian Data Analysis

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      Edition 3rd Edition
      First Published 2013
      Imprint Chapman and Hall/CRC
      Pages 14
      eBook ISBN 9780429113079
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      ABSTRACT

      So far, we have relied primarily upon the normal, binomial, and Poisson distributions, and hierarchical combinations of these, for modeling data and parameters. The use of a limited class of distributions results, however, in a limited and potentially inappropriate class of inferences. Many problems fall outside the range of convenient models, and models should be chosen to fit the underlying science and data, not simply for their analytical or computational convenience. As illustrated in Chapter 5, often the most useful approach for creating realistic models is to work hierarchically, combining simple univariate models. If, for convenience, we use simplistic models, it is important to answer the following question: in what ways does the posterior inference depend on extreme data points and on unassessable model assumptions? We have already discussed, in Chapter 6, the latter part of this question, which is essentially the subject of sensitivity analysis; here we return to the topic in greater detail, using more advanced computational methods.

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