ABSTRACT

At the beginning of the twenty-first century the future role and importance of the

oil exporting countries in the Middle East is rather uncertain. The clear Cold-

War division of the world has disappeared and states are in the process of

redefining their national interests. The major dilemma is the future role of their

primary source of income. Oil is still king, but scientific and industrial

developments tell us that we are in the midst of a transformation process that

indicates a global shift from oil (and other fossil fuels) to alternative sources of

energy. A new energy paradigm is emerging, forged by technological advances,

resource and environmental constraints, and socio-economic demands. The main

fuel for the second half of the twenty-first century could be hydrogen, the

lightest and most abundant resource in the universe. Like the hydrocarbon era

that precedes it, the dawning hydrogen age not only carries with it its own set of

risks and uncertainties, but also its own set of winners and losers. Oil exporting

countries are confronted with this challenge and are reaching varying

conclusions.