ABSTRACT

In summary, we present briefly ten scenarios for Central Eurasia’s future. We think it is important for scholars, specialists and practitioners to consider future demographic, economic, social and geopolitical events and developments that may shape this region in the coming decades. Scenarios are brief descriptions of likely events. They are based on our reading and understanding of current economic, demographic and political situations and events, and then a look into the possible scenarios for 2025, 2050 and beyond. Some of our scenarios will be more likely than others, for example, anticipated population changes, environmental conditions, social well-being measures and economic futures. Others, for example, looking at geopolitical worlds and political maps, may be less likely, and even controversial, but we realize that changes take place even in political arenas that affect political cultures, identities, alliances and boundaries. The ten scenarios are not listed in any priority.