ABSTRACT

Fifteen years ago, ‘democratic Machiavelli’ Samuel Huntington argued that Taiwan was undergoing a ‘direct transition from a stable authoritarian

system to a stable democratic system,’1 and that liberal democracy based on

pluralism was in an irreversible ongoing process.2 Economically, due to the

success of state-led, export-oriented policies and strategies to accumulate

capital, Taiwan has had no negative growth rate during the past five dec-

ades. Intensive external trade has contributed to a huge accumulation of

wealth. It now has more than US$100 billion of foreign reserves, and vir-

tually no foreign debt. In sum, Taiwan has the most remarkable development among all the newly industrializing countries. The success of Taiwan’s

democratic transformation, together with its shining economic performance

over the past 50 years, seem to present a perfect case for Fukuyama’s theory

of ‘the end of history’.3 On 18 March 2000, Taiwan held its second direct

presidential election. Mr Chen Shui-bian of the Democratic Progressive

Party (DPP) won the election. This ended the rule of Kuomintang (KMT)

on Taiwan. The democratic transition is said to be complete.