ABSTRACT

The research hypotheses formulated in Chapter 4 are testable, which means that they can be falsified by empirical evidence on dependent and independent variables introduced in Chapters 3 and 4. In Chapter 5, the first research hypothesis was already tested by historical data covering the period 1850-1998. The evidence did not falsify the hypothesis. In this and the next chapters, we shall focus on the state of democratization in 19992001. The first research hypothesis will be tested by correlation analysis (Pearson’s r) in this chapter. The results of correlation analysis show to what extent empirical evidence supports the evolutionary resource distribution theory of democratization. Positive correlations should be relatively strong. Negative or weak positive correlations would falsify the hypothesis. The results based on simple correlations will be complemented by multiple correlation and multiple regression analyses.