ABSTRACT

Empirical evidence supports strongly the first research hypothesis tested in Chapter 6, but correlations measure only the average relationship between variables, not its application to single countries. The second research hypothesis, according to which all countries tend to cross the threshold of democracy at about the same level of resource distribution as indicated by the indices of power resources (IPR, IPR-2, and Mean), transfers analysis to the level of single countries. This hypothesis can be tested by regression analysis and by comparing the number of democracies and non-democracies at different levels of explanatory variables. Because correlations between the three alternative indices of resource distribution and ID are strong, the results of regression analysis provide a solid basis on which to evaluate the prospects of democracy at the level of single countries.