ABSTRACT

Four-fifths of the global population live in the countries of the Third World. In recent years 95 per cent of the 90 million people born in the world each year have been in Third World countries. These high proportions have come about through persistent high rates of population increase during the second half of the twentieth century, largely the result of declining death rates and continuing high, though now generally falling, birth rates. National rates of natural increase range between 1.5 and 3.5 per cent per annum, rates at which a population will more than double within 40 to 20 years (see Figure 3.1; Table 3.1). In contrast, in the more developed parts of the world natural increase is now mostly below 1.0 per cent per annum, and it would take more than a hundred years for a population to double in size. Projected annual rate of population growth, 1989–2000 https://s3-euw1-ap-pe-df-pch-content-public-p.s3.eu-west-1.amazonaws.com/9780203754092/06944f7e-d722-42c7-900a-4004781a938b/content/fig3_1_B.tif" xmlns:xlink="https://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"/> Source of data: World Bank, 1992 Global and regional population indices https://www.niso.org/standards/z39-96/ns/oasis-exchange/table">

Population (millions) 1992

Average annual rate of growth (%) 1980–92

Total fertility rate, 1992

Expectation of life at birth (years) 1992

Birth rate (per 000) 1992

Death rate (per 000) 1992

Area (000 km2)

Density (per km2)

World

5438

1.7

3.1

66

25

9

111,306

48

Sub-Saharan Africa

543

3.0

6.1

52

44

15

23,066

21

East Asia and Pacific

1689

1.6

2.3

68

21

8

16,369

102

South Asia

1178

2.2

4.0

60

31

10

5,133

224

Eastern Europe and Central Asia

495

1.0

2.2

70

16

10

2,314

212

Middle East and North Africa

256

3.1

4.9

64

34

8

11,015

22

Latin America and Caribbean

452

2.0

3.0

68

26

7

20,507

22

High-income countries

828

0.7

1.7

77

13

9

31,709

26

Source of data: World Bank, 1994a