ABSTRACT
Model predictions Ideally, the regionalism model should be capable of explaining variations in the levels of regionalism across time as well as space. If it is truly a causal model,
the model that was developed on the basis of variation across space should also be able to explain variation in regionalism across time. This proposition can be examined through studying how each of the independent variables has changed across time in individual regions, and using this information to make predictions about how this will have affected regionalism. The predictions can then be compared to how regionalism actually developed across time to assess whether the model can successfully explain variation in the levels of regionalism across time. This section examines how four of the independent variables from the regionalism model have changed through the period from the 1960s to the 2000s in Scotland and in Rogaland. The variation in the independent variables is used to make a set of predictions about how regionalism will have developed in each of the two regions over the same time period. In the next section, these predictions will be compared to actual measures of the levels of regionalism in the two regions through the same period.
