ABSTRACT
We began our analysis with two sets of generalizations. One that we have mentioned repeatedly (Singer and Wildavsky, 1993) talked about a bifurcation of the world into zones of peace and turmoil. The zones of peace were populated by developed and democratic states that no longer fought one another. The zones of turmoil, the rest of the world, were less developed, more autocratic, and prone to internal and external strife. But this structural divide was thought to be transitory. As states in the zones of turmoil developed economically and became more democratic, they would move from the zones of turmoil into the zones of peace. This conceptualization is, of course, a popularization of the liberal proposition that the poor get richer as they emulate their practices while the growth of the rich will eventually slow down.
