ABSTRACT

Due to uncertainties caused by several factors affecting fire safety in buildings, it may be realistic to treat these factors as non-deterministic random phenomena. This generally means adopting a probabilistic approach to the evaluation of fire risk and assessment of the fire protection requirements of a building (Ramachandran 1988a). In this approach, there are essentially four types of models that are used in the quantitative analysis of fire risk in which probabilities enter the calculations explicitly. These are:

statistical methods;

logic tree analysis;

stochastic models; and/or

sensitivity analysis.