ABSTRACT

In Graham Allison's characterization of Model II, law plays only a minor role. Law is mentioned only once in his paradigm for Model II, when he says that the "set of constraints emerges from a mix of the expectations and demands of other organizations in the government, statutory authority, demands from citizens and special interest groups, and bargaining within the organization." Allison's evidence for the validity of Model II analysis, based on his study of the Cuban Missile Crisis, is striking, for Model II resolves some riddles of that event that Model I cannot begin to answer. While the Secretary of State can review any export license application, and therefore foreign policy could be taken into account in any export licensing, the law apparently provides that foreign policy control may only be exercised if they are first made part of the regulations.