ABSTRACT
This chapter presents the two scenarios, component by component, including values and lifestyles, demographic factors, economic indicators, personal consumption, transportation, industry, and agriculture. Scenario I assumes that the first pattern will remain dominant and the number in the third group will decrease as the economy grows. By contrast, Scenario II assumes that the emergent second pattern continues to spread until by 2050 it is challenging the conventional patterns for dominance. The method of population projection adopted for the project started from baseline data for each county in the state–including population, age mix, employment, and size and growth patterns of urban and rural communities. Forecasts of California economic indicators were arrived at through projections of the national economic context and Bureau of Labor Statistics data on comparative sectoral growth rates. The future demographic characteristics of California are functions of birth rate, death rate, and migration.
