ABSTRACT
The basic forces driving energy consumption arise from society's demands for manufactured goods, travel, and government and commerical services, as well as from the basic consumer needs for heating and cooling, lighting, transportation, and mechanical power. That basic observation forms the rationale for developing the societal scenarios and deriving energy demand and supply projections from them. Energy demand projections were made separately for four sectors: residential, commercial, transportation, and industrial. Each of these sectors uses some or all of six types of energy demand: liquid fuels, feedstocks, non-substitutable electricity, low-grade heat, and intermediate- and high-grade heat. Energy prices are an important factor in determining both energy demand and energy supply. Residential energy demand projections were made separately for space heating and cooling, water heating, and appliances. Energy supply is much more dependent on the world and national contexts than is energy demand.
