ABSTRACT

Environmental problems of concern in California include the well-known and fairly easily measured problems of air quality and water supply, plus less known and more difficult to measure problems such as pesticides, loss of wildlife habitat, and toxic chemicals. The objective of the environmental analysis was to indicate the approximate magnitude of the air quality and water supply implications of the societal scenarios relative to one another. Emissions from highway vehicles were calculated using scenario estimates of vehicle-miles traveled. Emissions from nonhighway transportation were based on scenario estimates of their energy demands. Residential and commercial emissions were calculated from scenario estimates of energy demand in the sectors. In Scenario I, water shortages, combined with air pollution problems and other siting constraints, make siting the necessary number of power plants very difficult. Scenario II would most likely choose more water conservation rather than damming more rivers.