ABSTRACT
This chapter identifies the assumptions and logical framework of the Assured Vulnerability model of deterrence. Assured Vulnerability has been described ad nauseum. Analysis of its central assumptions, underlying value judgments, concepts and implications for United States doctrine and strategy is scarce. In the context of mutual vulnerability, both the United States and the Soviet Union can ensure their national security simultaneously. Various strategic concepts, and a number of policy recommendations concerning the optimal US strategic nuclear force posture, targeting policy, and arms control policy follow logically from the basic assumptions and related implications of Assured Vulnerability. The logic of the Assured Vulnerability model also points to "crisis instability" as an effect of US efforts to attain a counterforce and damage-limitation capability. Assured Vulnerability and Flexible Targeting ultimately reflect particular judgments concerning probable Soviet intentions, values, and perceptions. Assured Vulnerability is based upon a particular assessment of the Soviet leadership.
