ABSTRACT

The authors conclude their book with predictions about the future contest between nations and sizable criminal enterprises. Products sold by organized crime will continue to be chosen for both profitability and security against observation and investigation by law enforcement. These products—be they types of drugs, weapons, or human trafficking—will continuously change as consumer demand and potential consumer demand do. The struggle will change as the primary source of supply shifts from the western hemisphere to East Asia and Southeast Asia. New and dangerous forms of electronic extortion will continue to expand. Besides product changes, the contest between organized crime and law enforcement will be shaped by new organized crime alliances, with other organized crime groups, terrorist groups, ethnic groups, and governments such as Russia. Ubiquitous encryption, vast collections of data and drone technology will all dramatically shift both the ways in which organized crime plans and commits its crimes and the capacities of law enforcement to identify and investigate them.