ABSTRACT

Chapter 6 looks at clinical prediction and its relevance to unconscious problem solving for future events. The historical role of prediction in healing is traced back to the first time a socially sanctioned healer offered a blessing versus a curse. Case examples are used to illustrate the distinction between deterministic versus constructivist views of the future. As an example of a constructivist approach, the use of post-hypnotic suggestion in hypnotherapy is analyzed as a form of prediction. Different dimensions of prediction, such as spatial and temporal framing, are examined in light of recent research into their therapeutic value. Research on commitment and virtual boundaries highlights another important dimension as prediction becomes an interactive proposition. The role of ambiguity in prediction is described. Finally, research on base-rates for various clinical disorders is reviewed as statistical predictions help inform therapeutic prediction.