ABSTRACT
The traditional land-use transportation studies have generally used travel demand forecasting models derived from a base-year data set which establishes patterns of future travel behaviour aggregated from household level to zonal level. The most significant developments include land-use allocation models, disaggregate behavioural choice models and activity analysis. The most well known and widely used of these models is probably the Lowry model, or variations on it. It uses economic base theory to link population, employment and transport to produce a land-use transport model. The main assumption underpinning the Lowry model is that changes in a region depend on changes in basic employment. Variations of the model have been applied in the Nottinghamshire-Derbyshire; Bedfordshire and Lancashire areas of England. Dissatisfaction with the aggregate demand forecasting approach and the use of land-use allocation models has encouraged the development of activity systems analysis and disaggregate behavioural approaches to transport modelling.
