ABSTRACT

The three steps in the method of multiple hypotheses (diligently identifying alternative hypotheses, diligently obtaining relevant evidence, and tentatively making decisions based on plausibility) are never ending. There is no point where certain conclusions are reached. The search for alternative hypotheses and relevant evidence is without the possibility of final closure. In performing the steps in the MH method, scientists face the opposing tasks of imaginatively expanding the number of alternative hypotheses and critically winnowing down the number of hypotheses by confronting them with evidence. These two opposing but complementary tasks require equal measures of credulity and skepticism. The underlying message of the method of multiple hypotheses is to consider alternatives in both scientific and other endeavors.