ABSTRACT
This chapter is the second part of the book's investigation of the effectiveness of UN special procedures' individual casework on human rights defenders. It analyzes information on the further case development for a random subset of the UN mandate's cases to investigate the casework's protective effectiveness, contrasting findings on government responses, theoretical expectations, and those formulated by practitioners with results from a case-based survey among original complainants. Finally, using logistic regression models, the chapter takes a broader look at contextual factors that may predict how a defender's case will develop after a UN intervention. The chapter shows that reactive protective effects as a result of UN attention seem overall likely but that they are constrained by case-specific conditions, such as the involvement of businesses in the original attack, or by the general international visibility of the defender. The chapter closes with a discussion of the practical relevance of Part II's findings.
