ABSTRACT
This chapter assesses how current political and economic realities and emerging trends will combine to affect the future of international cooperation in aerospace. New international political stresses and alignments will reshape the past pattern of international cooperation and will particularly modify European and American alignments with China and Russia. Intra-European cooperation will be increasingly formalized within EU structures, and new cooperative alignments between emerging aerospace-producing nations will take shape.
new cooperative undertakings linking non-traditional partners such as Japan and Europe
aggressive international cooperation by the emerging Indian aerospace industry
abrupt collapse of virtually all Russian civil aircraft collaborative programs because of international sanctions, and relegation of Russia to tangential military cooperative programs with partners such as Iran
new imaginative cooperative initiatives by second-echelon aerospace countries such as Sweden, Brazil, Canada, Turkey, Korea, Pakistan and Indonesia
continued support by the European Union for aerospace collaboration in civil and military aerospace, resulting in increased expansion by Airbus. Political integration in Europe may result in more commonality in military missions and configurations.
continued impetus within the EU to structure military cooperative programs within permanent frameworks for long-term allocation of economic benefits, diminishing the need for counterproductive and inefficient juste retour policies
future resistance to aggressive attempts by China to enhance its aerospace technology through coercive collaborative programs; new difficulties for China in establishing a growing presence in Europe and the USA
USA-led programs will continue to be structured in the pilot-role model.
