ABSTRACT

This chapter examines several versions of a full model with all three groups of explanatory variables, with particular attention to the impact of provincial characteristics and performances on the political mobility of Chinese provincial leaders. China's provinces differ in such characteristics as population, economy size, economic growth, and financial contribution to the central coffer. China's provincial units are at different stages of economic development. Provincial economic performances can also be measured in several ways. One of the most common measures is economic growth. Provincial financial contributions measure how much a province contributes to the central coffer in a year. Leaders of rich provinces are more likely to be promoted than are those from poor provinces. Centrally administered municipalities followed different patterns in political mobility from those in other provincial units. Leaders of these municipalities are significantly more likely to be promoted than those in other provincial units.