ABSTRACT

This chapter analyzes historical trends in total transportation industry turnover relative to gross domestic product (GDP) in typical economies. It explores the potential relationship between total road transportation turnover and GDP and the associated energy consumption because total turnover and GDP are important factors in road transport energy consumption. The chapter adopts the Bayesian model average (BMA) model to select core factors related to road transport energy consumption in China, and on the basis of the model selection as well as univariate models and multivariate models. It discusses the historical trends of total road turnover and GDP in the United States, Japan, the European Union and China. The challenge for the Chinese government is finding a way to realize the green development of transportation and developing new ways for green low-carbon cycle development in the "new normal" period. The government needs to prioritize busses to solve urban congestion problems and needs to encourage people to drive green.