ABSTRACT

A total of one hundred and twenty-five atmospheric, surface, near-surface, and

underground tests were conducted at the Nevada Test Site (NTS) between

1951 and 1963.These tests resulted in fallout of many different kinds of radio-

active isotopes, including cesium, strontium, and iodine, exposing millions of

Americans to radioactive contamination [1, 2]. The most extensive analysis of

radioactive fallout from U.S. nuclear weapons testing concentrated on radio-

iodine, or I-131, which has a half-life of eight days [1]. An analysis performed by

the National Cancer Institute (NCI) found that nuclear weapons tests released

about 150 million curies of I-131 [1]. Virtually every county in the United States

received some I-131 fallout. The highest levels of I-131 fallout were deposited

immediately downwind from the NTS. The main pathway of exposure to humans

was from consumption of fresh milk. Although in some groups (e.g., Native

Americans), exposures may also have resulted from eating wild game and fish

[3]. While the NCI study estimated doses of I-131 fallout, subsequent estimates

were made of the risks of I-131 exposure, with particular emphasis on thyroid

cancer. Estimates of thyroid cancer risk are questionable because of the many

uncertainties associated with the actual levels of fallout deposited, individual

exposures and doses (including the relative biological effectiveness of I-131),

and the dose-response function. The possible excess thyroid cancers from the

I-131 fallout have been estimated to range from 11,300 to 212,000, with a central

estimate of 49,000.