ABSTRACT
Hence, rather than generating one most probable variant based on a complex set o f assumptions, the scenario projections, are based on some relatively simple assumptions, for each of fertility and mortality levels, for the national and non national populations in Bahrain, Kuwait and Oman. These three States have been selected because they are the only States, from amongst the six, to have complete demographic data sets. The scenario projections have been generated for the national and the non national populations separately, because the non-nationals have their own demographic characteristics, and that while they are an integral part o f Gulf economies, they are not settlers in the Gulf societies, they are subject to different socioeconomic conditions and make unique demands on these economies. Hence, while nationals have three alternative scenario projections, the non nationals have only one illustrative scenario.
