ABSTRACT

This chapter tests the concepts of conformity through two related case studies in Florida. Spatial and statistical analyses seek to address the issue of whether planning works as a growth management tool in Florida, which contains one of the strongest local planning mandates in the US. First case uses Geographic Information Systems (GIS) and associated spatial analytical techniques to compare original adopted local plans with subsequent development as indicated by wetland alteration permits. Second case relies on spatial statistical modelling to identify the major factors driving nonconforming development patterns in the southern portion of the state. Spatial statistical modelling indicates there are several factors impacting the degree of nonconforming wetland development, each with distinct planning implications. First, nonconforming wetland development clusters are significantly spatially correlated up to ten miles apart. Second, the value of land strongly contributes to the degree of plan conformity. Third, proximity to likely public services and major transportation corridors significantly affects the degree of plan conformity.