Selecting a Framework for Foresight

The author explains why he chose Disaster Incubation Theory as my basic framework for promoting foresight. He also looks at the main ideas that stimulated the development of his approach to generating foresight and why chaos rather than order should be considered to be the normal state. In selecting a framework for foresight, the author started with Barry Turner's Disaster Incubation Theory as it was one of the first that addressed the causes of accidents. It determines that Turner's model provides the most appropriate starting point for my foresight framework. While academics may wish to see the purpose of their work as being to describe, it may not have the greatest practical utility. Finally, it comes to the idea of providing catalytic frameworks. For the purpose of this work it has made the basic assumption that the world is chaotic and that we only have a very limited ability to gain and maintain control over our surroundings and our future.