ABSTRACT
This chapter concentrates on the potential failure to see and suggests what people might look for during the incubation period. It examines these issues of interest. When discussing normalisation of deviance, Vaughan talks about how signals of potential danger can be normalized and how deviance can subsequently be reinterpreted as being within normal or acceptable limits; here it drifts away from a standard to one that was originally considered to be dangerous. These are preventing or preparing, instability in the system, the iterative nature of the process, span of control, critical success factors and issues of interest. This chapter looks at issues in creating foresight when trying to prevent unwanted occurrences or when preparing to respond to those we do not prevent. Where it differs from other models and their emphasis on learning at the end of the process is that, in order to use learning as part of foresight, it is more important to learn from the past.
