ABSTRACT
This chapter is based primarily on a paper coauthored with Valeriy Khmelko, Vladimir Paniotto, and Ho-fung Hung, published in Comparative Sociology (Kohn et al. 2004), but it also includes a crucial causal model (Figure 7.1) that had not been ready at the time that article went to press. Insofar as the analyses depend on the baseline data of 1992–1993, I am indebted to the same people as for the Ukrainian portions of the analyses of Chapters 4–6, in particular, the people who made possible the Ukrainian survey of 1992–1993 (see the prefatory note in Chapter 4). In addition, I am hugely indebted to Khmelko and Paniotto for their initiative in carrying out (and even subsidizing the costs of) the follow-up Ukrainian survey and in re-assessing field methods and the validity of the data; and to Khmelko for helping me understand, through his published writings, our conversations, and innumerable e-mails, the conditions of life of Ukraine during the prolonged period of uncertainty and change encompassed in these analyses. We did not have the financial resources for either Khmelko or Paniotto to spend extended periods of time working with me on data analysis, as they had done when we were analyzing the cross-sectional data, but they contributed considerably to those analyses and to the interpretation of the findings, at long distance, mainly through e-mails. Hung played an immensely useful role as research assistant at the early stages of analysis, as did Bruce Podobnik at an even earlier stage of the analysis when we were merging the baseline and follow-up data files and reassessing the data.
