ABSTRACT

Almost everywhere in the world, the advance in education continues. Depending on the region and country, the portions of population attending school, the numbers of students in school, and the average years of education—or, in some cases, all three of these measures—continue to grow rapidly. The normative scenario generally increases that rate of advance, relative to the base forecast of the path that countries already seem to be on, through the use of growth targets that our analysis suggests are simultaneously aggressive and reasonable. The purpose of this chapter and the next is to explore the possible consequences of pursuing those targets.