ABSTRACT

This chapter tests the theoretical propositions in autocratic governments. Once leaders and their coalition members are committed to an exchange of political support for private goods, leaders become more difficult to depose, particularly in autocracies. Categorization of regimes is crucial because several empirical tests restrict the estimation sample in order to investigate the effect of covariates in different political systems, such as autocracies, parliamentary democracies, and presidential democracies. Mexico in 1968 is an example of a civilian autocracy, while Burma in 2002 represents a military regime, and Nepal in 1970 is representative of a monarchical autocracy. Competent ministers are also replaced in military autocracies, but not at the same rate as in civilian ones. The chapter presents the set of empirical tests of the hypotheses on ministerial change, which involves small-coalition countries, large-coalition presidential systems and large-coalition parliamentary systems.