ABSTRACT

This article examines the global sources of regional transitions from war to peace. I focus on two types of transitions from regional war to regional peace which are strongly affected by different types of great-power involvement in regional conflicts. The first transition is from hot war to cold war (i.e. war termination). This transition is heavily influenced by the intervention of competing great powers. The second transition is from a hot/cold war situation to cold peace (i.e. conflict reduction). Such a transition is likely to occur under a great-power hegemon or great-power cooperation. I argue that the sources of regional hot wars are regional and domestic rather than global. Similarly, the possibility of reaching a high-level ‘warm peace’ (i.e. conflict resolution) depends on regional and domestic forces (Miller, 1998a, 1999c, 2000, forthcoming).