ABSTRACT
This chapter deals with probability as a genuine attribute of laws, and shows that the difference between ‘ordinary’ and inductive probability can be accounted for without resort to different interpretations of the calculus. It discusses the nature of inductive probability and argues what it proposes to call a reconstructive examination of certain familiar arguments of inductive probability. The evidence or field of measurement of an inductive probability can be conveniently described as a set of possible conditioning properties of a given conditioned property. The notion of the degree of probability, or of confirmation, of a law can be defined and treated in various ways. The inefficiency of paradoxical confirmations of a law from the point of view of probability is thus but another expression for the inefficiency of paradoxical confirmations from the point of view of elimination. Traditional idea of the Logic of inductive probability is that the probability of a law is somehow proportionate to the law's simplicity.
