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tth ra rdoeugphropbo le omrss ; top ra o g st e -; h w ar avteesrtelroosssieosn in ofth th eefsio el idl; aan nd d form Th a e ti omnajionrK tr eannysapoarrtestohfem re o g is io tu nraelim nl oannsdofoonrarlaw in i fall ma D ny roou th gehrt , prhoocw es esveesro , fisentvhie ro nmmae jo n r tal degradation. systems. The direction and speed of these winds al nsdotchua lt tuh ra alspbreoednucatsisvo it c y ia ; te sh dow rt iatghesanonfuaelndaetfu ic riatls disaster affect the pat nergy, fo o in d , aagn ri d T ov weortdhies ti rnecgti te m rn osnsoofotnhaelcwoinn vective processes inland. water; famine; and devastating impacts on many other Both converg oeno , vnearmKee ly nynaoardn th sdaynsd te m so sua th re ecaosm ter m lie osn . n se a c ti toon rs a / lsesrovciicoeescotnhoamt ic fo d rm ev eilnotpem gr e al components of torial eastern Africa during the oatuhteurmpna rt asndofsepq ri unag sdursotu ai gnhatb le im spoacc io ts e co li nnogm er icfd or e ve se lo v p er n al t . ySeoam rs e ment can , of th aenrd th ensoe seas efore w na inncoens. ofHon wever, Kenya is largely u ds durin ogr th th eeasso te urtlhye /s ronu /n th o rt ehaesr te nrd ly erm th oensdooom na i l m be enatchsite ra vteedg ie wsitfhooructopprio ng pewrip th la n su n c in hgda ro nudghm ts a . naTghee w so innsd , sryesstpe ectively. The patterns of n th esummomnesroosnea a l m str aajtoerg ie csommpuosnt en in ts c lu odfesdurcohugdhitsam st o er n it m or a in na g g , edm ia egn t low levels, m by scao re m p si lgenxif to ic paong tl ryapmho ic dailfipeadt , teersnpse . cially at ndo ro si usg , hptrepdriecpta io re n d , neefsfs ic p ie o n li tce ie asr . ly warning systems, and i m nte I on rTsh CZ oeomni sp mhaerrkis al wind c t sy nhsoer th co tems n . evTaeh st regreez ly n ce a nd ofstohueth lo ewa -s lteev rl eyl has Tahdids re rsesve ie dwfoo ur fkperyeddirco ta ubgih li ttyi ss oufesK , ennaymaenlyd : rought n ov o e rt rhh ea adnsdun south of the eq ounaetotrh er feoflo lo re m , and often lags behind it by thr w e in igg ra ttheese to five • • d so ycniaom ec ic osnaonmdicc auses weeks. ITC imp ; acts, including the recent p ow at itn er gnstoantZhe is veexriy st edn if cfeu se oaftc th oemlpolw ex letvoep ls oignra Keny d many large inland water bodies, pwhhiiccaal , • p in rteedg ic ra ta te b d il i g ty lo pbraolsepfefcotrst ; satnod address such problems; poo ft neenntisntirnod th u e ce se bao so th n al zomniaglraa ti nodnm ov eerr idional com h • challenges to drought prediction in Kenya. zonal compo Kenya. The A as tsloacnitaitce / dCwoint en ng hot / hteof in th fl euxI Zaire bTao CZ, si fnms, ofsotrw ex whic ehsatm er p li lees , fhraosmbe th en e
DOI link for tth ra rdoeugphropbo le omrss ; top ra o g st e -; h w ar avteesrtelroosssieosn in ofth th eefsio el idl; aan nd d form Th a e ti omnajionrK tr eannysapoarrtestohfem re o g is io tu nraelim nl oannsdofoonrarlaw in i fall ma D ny roou th gehrt , prhoocw es esveesro , fisentvhie ro nmmae jo n r tal degradation. systems. The direction and speed of these winds al nsdotchua lt tuh ra alspbreoednucatsisvo it c y ia ; te sh dow rt iatghesanonfuaelndaetfu ic riatls disaster affect the pat nergy, fo o in d , aagn ri d T ov weortdhies ti rnecgti te m rn osnsoofotnhaelcwoinn vective processes inland. water; famine; and devastating impacts on many other Both converg oeno , vnearmKee ly nynaoardn th sdaynsd te m so sua th re ecaosm ter m lie osn . n se a c ti toon rs a / lsesrovciicoeescotnhoamt ic fo d rm ev eilnotpem gr e al components of torial eastern Africa during the oatuhteurmpna rt asndofsepq ri unag sdursotu ai gnhatb le im spoacc io ts e co li nnogm er icfd or e ve se lo v p er n al t . ySeoam rs e ment can , of th aenrd th ensoe seas efore w na inncoens. ofHon wever, Kenya is largely u ds durin ogr th th eeasso te urtlhye /s ronu /n th o rt ehaesr te nrd ly erm th oensdooom na i l m be enatchsite ra vteedg ie wsitfhooructopprio ng pewrip th la n su n c in hgda ro nudghm ts a . naTghee w so innsd , sryesstpe ectively. The patterns of n th esummomnesroosnea a l m str aajtoerg ie csommpuosnt en in ts c lu odfesdurcohugdhitsam st o er n it m or a in na g g , edm ia egn t low levels, m by scao re m p si lgenxif to ic paong tl ryapmho ic dailfipeadt , teersnpse . cially at ndo ro si usg , hptrepdriecpta io re n d , neefsfs ic p ie o n li tce ie asr . ly warning systems, and i m nte I on rTsh CZ oeomni sp mhaerrkis al wind c t sy nhsoer th co tems n . evTaeh st regreez ly n ce a nd ofstohueth lo ewa -s lteev rl eyl has Tahdids re rsesve ie dwfoo ur fkperyeddirco ta ubgih li ttyi ss oufesK , ennaymaenlyd : rought n ov o e rt rhh ea adnsdun south of the eq ounaetotrh er feoflo lo re m , and often lags behind it by thr w e in igg ra ttheese to five • • d so ycniaom ec ic osnaonmdicc auses weeks. ITC imp ; acts, including the recent p ow at itn er gnstoantZhe is veexriy st edn if cfeu se oaftc th oemlpolw ex letvoep ls oignra Keny d many large inland water bodies, pwhhiiccaal , • p in rteedg ic ra ta te b d il i g ty lo pbraolsepfefcotrst ; satnod address such problems; poo ft neenntisntirnod th u e ce se bao so th n al zomniaglraa ti nodnm ov eerr idional com h • challenges to drought prediction in Kenya. zonal compo Kenya. The A as tsloacnitaitce / dCwoint en ng hot / hteof in th fl euxI Zaire bTao CZ, si fnms, ofsotrw ex whic ehsatm er p li lees , fhraosmbe th en e
tth ra rdoeugphropbo le omrss ; top ra o g st e -; h w ar avteesrtelroosssieosn in ofth th eefsio el idl; aan nd d form Th a e ti omnajionrK tr eannysapoarrtestohfem re o g is io tu nraelim nl oannsdofoonrarlaw in i fall ma D ny roou th gehrt , prhoocw es esveesro , fisentvhie ro nmmae jo n r tal degradation. systems. The direction and speed of these winds al nsdotchua lt tuh ra alspbreoednucatsisvo it c y ia ; te sh dow rt iatghesanonfuaelndaetfu ic riatls disaster affect the pat nergy, fo o in d , aagn ri d T ov weortdhies ti rnecgti te m rn osnsoofotnhaelcwoinn vective processes inland. water; famine; and devastating impacts on many other Both converg oeno , vnearmKee ly nynaoardn th sdaynsd te m so sua th re ecaosm ter m lie osn . n se a c ti toon rs a / lsesrovciicoeescotnhoamt ic fo d rm ev eilnotpem gr e al components of torial eastern Africa during the oatuhteurmpna rt asndofsepq ri unag sdursotu ai gnhatb le im spoacc io ts e co li nnogm er icfd or e ve se lo v p er n al t . ySeoam rs e ment can , of th aenrd th ensoe seas efore w na inncoens. ofHon wever, Kenya is largely u ds durin ogr th th eeasso te urtlhye /s ronu /n th o rt ehaesr te nrd ly erm th oensdooom na i l m be enatchsite ra vteedg ie wsitfhooructopprio ng pewrip th la n su n c in hgda ro nudghm ts a . naTghee w so innsd , sryesstpe ectively. The patterns of n th esummomnesroosnea a l m str aajtoerg ie csommpuosnt en in ts c lu odfesdurcohugdhitsam st o er n it m or a in na g g , edm ia egn t low levels, m by scao re m p si lgenxif to ic paong tl ryapmho ic dailfipeadt , teersnpse . cially at ndo ro si usg , hptrepdriecpta io re n d , neefsfs ic p ie o n li tce ie asr . ly warning systems, and i m nte I on rTsh CZ oeomni sp mhaerrkis al wind c t sy nhsoer th co tems n . evTaeh st regreez ly n ce a nd ofstohueth lo ewa -s lteev rl eyl has Tahdids re rsesve ie dwfoo ur fkperyeddirco ta ubgih li ttyi ss oufesK , ennaymaenlyd : rought n ov o e rt rhh ea adnsdun south of the eq ounaetotrh er feoflo lo re m , and often lags behind it by thr w e in igg ra ttheese to five • • d so ycniaom ec ic osnaonmdicc auses weeks. ITC imp ; acts, including the recent p ow at itn er gnstoantZhe is veexriy st edn if cfeu se oaftc th oemlpolw ex letvoep ls oignra Keny d many large inland water bodies, pwhhiiccaal , • p in rteedg ic ra ta te b d il i g ty lo pbraolsepfefcotrst ; satnod address such problems; poo ft neenntisntirnod th u e ce se bao so th n al zomniaglraa ti nodnm ov eerr idional com h • challenges to drought prediction in Kenya. zonal compo Kenya. The A as tsloacnitaitce / dCwoint en ng hot / hteof in th fl euxI Zaire bTao CZ, si fnms, ofsotrw ex whic ehsatm er p li lees , fhraosmbe th en e
ABSTRACT