ABSTRACT

This practice aims to help readers gain familiarity with ecological forecasting by using EcoPAD to perform ecological forecasting at the SPRUCE experiment. The web portal of EcoPAD-SPRUCE provides automated ecological forecasting at a weekly time scale. From the web portal, users can check current near- and long-term forecasting results, conduct model simulations, data assimilation, and forecasting runs, and analyze and visualize model results. There are three exercises in this practice, using either CarboTrain or EcoPAD. We delve into how constrained posterior parameters influence forecast uncertainty; how different forcing influences forecast uncertainty; and how ecosystem forecast responds to warming and elevated CO2 with fully specified uncertainties.