ABSTRACT
This paper presents a framework to assess the seismic resilience of thermal power plants, which can be applied for power shortage risk analysis during earthquakes and the subsequent recovery process. The key issue of the proposed framework is that in addition to seismic damage and recovery assessment of power plants, we consider operational risk that could cause unscheduled outage of plants. In a situation where multiple power plants are shut down after a catastrophic seismic event, we need to ensure power generation capacity by operating the remaining power plants efficiently and unexpected shut down of plants due to equipment failures could cause power shortage immediately. The effectiveness of the proposed framework is validated throughout the application to an anticipated earthquake scenario.
