ABSTRACT

The paper is concerned with an application of the recently developed, a general safety analytical model of a critical infrastructure under the influence of an operation process related to climate-weather change process. The model is presented and applied to the prediction of the maritime ferry safety characteristics. As a result of this application, the ferry unconditional safety function and the risk function at changing in time operation and climate-weather conditions are determined. Moreover, the other significant safety indicators, i.e. the mean lifetime up to the exceeding a critical safety state, the moment when the risk function value exceeds the acceptable safety level, the intensities of ageing and the coefficients of the operation and climate-weather impact on the ferry intensities of ageing are presented.