ABSTRACT
A deep transition needs to be understood as the emergent outcome of the asynchronous interaction between four long-wave transitions: socio-metabolic transitions (material flows), socio-technical transitions (sectoral change, e.g. energy), techno-industrial transitions (major clusters of energy-mobility-communication technologies) and long-term development cycles (growth rates and prices). However, whether or not the directionality of the coming deep transition will be oriented towards a just transition will depend on the outcome of struggles within the polity between a wide range of organized formations that represent divergent interests, specifically those who want to replicate the status quo (plus some greening on the side) and those searching for a more collective commons-oriented alternative.
