ABSTRACT

This chapter considers the theoretical implications for the three types of uncertainty intentions, capabilities, and the nature of the move in relation to Chinese actions in the South China Sea. It examines in light of the problems faced by states in East Central Europe. The chapter also examines the crucial differences between the geostrategic environment between the two regions and time periods, and explores their implications for the likelihood of balancing. It describes the behavior of states with territorial claims in the South China Sea plus that of the United States. The chapter discusses how closely the behavior of these states fits with the theoretical expectations derived from the types of uncertainty and the differences between East Central Europe and Southeast Asia. The behavior of states bordering the South China Sea may vary significantly from those of Southeast Asian states that have no claims in that sea with non-claimant states being less likely to balance.